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Guess who likes the GOP’s 20-week abortion ban? Women.


Posted: Aug 5, 2013

[For conservative antiabortionists, I've always said, including here, that antiabortionists could always have saved many of the unborn lives they said they cared about if they'd joined with others to roll abortion dates back, instead of supporting villification and divisiveness. Maybe never too late to change strategy?]

From the Washington Post:

The war over the “war on women” rages on these days, as Republicans seek to tar Democrats with the scandals of Anthony Weiner, Bob Filner and Eliot Spitzer.

And the next major front in this “war” — the GOP-led 20-week abortion ban — is likely to be even more contentious.

But while Democrats are sure to use the new proposed restrictions to feed the narrative of Republicans’ “war on women,” polling on the issue actually tells quite a different story. In fact, of four major polls conducted in recent weeks on the 20-week abortion ban, each one shows women are actually more supportive of the law than men.

A new Quinnipiac poll shows 60 percent of women prefer allowing unrestricted abortions for only the first 20 weeks of pregnancy rather than the Supreme Court-prescribed 24 weeks. Among men, 50 percent support the 20-week law — a 10-point gap.

Washington Post-ABC News poll showed the gap at seven points, while two other polls (from NBC/Wall Street Journal and National Journal) showed it at six and four, respectively.

And those numbers may actually understate support among women for the new restrictions.

In the Post-ABC poll, rather than choosing between a 20-week ban and the current 24 weeks, 8 percent of women volunteered that abortion should never be legal, and 3 percent volunteered that the window should be smaller than 20 weeks. If you add them to the 60 percent of women who support the 20-week abortion ban, then 71 percent of women would seem to support the effort to increase abortion restrictions.

The Quinnipiac poll, meanwhile, shows 60 percent of women support the 20-week ban and 8 percent volunteer that it should never be legal, which again suggests that two-thirds of women could be supportive.

Support in the other two polls does not show quite as much support among women, but in each case, there are more women who support the ban than oppose it.

Taken as a whole, it’s pretty clear that women are broadly supportive of the ban — and they support it in bigger numbers than men.

It’s also clear that overall support for abortion rights is not a good proxy for opposition to abortion restrictions. People who think abortion should be legal are, in many cases, quite open to new restrictions.

Conventional wisdom on abortion has it that women are more supportive of abortion rights than men — and thus would logically be more opposed to restrictions — but polling shows that’s not necessarily true either.

The Post-ABC poll showed 56 percent of men thought abortion should be legal in all or most cases, while 55 percent of women said the same. Over the past 20 years, there has been little difference between the two genders on this question.

The Quinnipiac poll does show that women support abortion rights more than men — 61 percent to 53 percent — but, again, it also shows women are significantly more supportive of the 20-week abortion ban, with just 25 percent opposed to it.

So what does it all mean?

It means that, if and when Republicans in the Senate push for a vote on the 20-week abortion ban (which already passed in the House), they can credibly make the case that they are doing something that women support.

Of course, that doesn’t mean it will work, politically speaking. That’s because, when it comes to the abortion battle, much of it is about intensity. And as Texas state Sen. Wendy Davis’s (D) filibuster shows us, pro-abortion rights groups and supporters — many of whom are women — will mobilize on this issue and press the idea that Republicans are anti-woman.

Republicans got plenty of heat in the 2012 election for  their position on contraception and for rape-related comments made by some of their candidates. Those kinds of gaffes, which have repeatedly popped up whenever Republicans make an issue of abortion, can damage the GOP by reinforcing Democrats’ argument that male politicians with extremist views are telling women what they can and can’t do with their bodies.

But as of right now, there’s little reason to believe that a 20-week abortion ban is the same kind of issue.

Indeed, it appears to be quite a politically viable move — both with men and women — and possibly even an advantageous one if Republicans play their cards right.

Scott Clement and Juliet Eilperin contributed to this post.

;

I wish this country would focus more on - birth control than abortion.

[ In Reply To ..]
We're going about this all backwards because abortion is the hot button issue. But birth control is, in my opinion, the issue that should take the forefront.

I'm a lib who hates the very idea of abortion, but would never stand in anyone's way to make their own decisions. So in my world, birth control is the only solution. And yes, I will gladly pay as much as I am asked-- for other peoples' birth control. I will gladly pay.

It's a small price to pay for peace of mind in an issue that is important to me. Any republican who is pro-life but isn't willing to put their money where their mouth is gets ZERO respect from me.

But let me ask you this - (sm) - Not Sandra Fluke

[ In Reply To ..]
How do you feel about a welfare mom, sleeping around the neighborhood, never worked a day in her life. I guess you're happy to pay for her lifestyle?

Yes, I am. - I know where my priorities lie.

[ In Reply To ..]
This is not an issue where I worry about fairness. Is it unfair that some people don't take responsibility? Yes. But I don't put punishing those people before my priorities--which are in preventing abortion. Not worrying about whether or not its fair that I'm paying for their birth control.

My tax money has gone to all sorts of things I disagree with since the day I started working--war being the first and most expensive item on that list. At least with birth control, I know my money is doing something good for the world. My war money is only bringing death.

So yes, I am happy to give Ms. Welfare a free ride for birth control on my dime. I'm happier about that than supporting Halliburton.

mmm good - sm

[ In Reply To ..]
Disgust would be more to the point. - me
[ In Reply To ..]
nm

1. It must be an individual decision. 2. They're intertwined. - Some states are making BC pills illegal

[ In Reply To ..]
if one of the mechanisms they use is preventing a fertilized ovum from implanting. Proponents point out, rightly, that this IS abortion. BTW, states can't legally pass these laws? No, they can't, but tell that to women who are effectively denied timely access to pills or even potentially arrested before the Supreme Court strikes it down, and THEN only if the state doesn't defy the court and continue on illegally until and if the ruling is enforced by the current president.

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