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Our stupid self-inflicted crisis


Posted: Jul 25, 2011

New York (CNN) -- Let me get this straight. The people who have been preaching the most about the dangers of American decline are right now helping to hasten American decline.

Because if America defaults on its debt, not only will we find ourselves in a far deeper fiscal hole, but the full faith and credit of the United States will be compromised. In our globalized era, that means America will be considered an unpredictable partner and a second-class power.

Worst of all, this will be a self-inflicted wound. It is a direct result of the hyper-partisanship that has been hijacking America's political debates. Now it is compromising our ability to govern ourselves effectively.

The markets are viewing Washington's debt dysfunction as badly as Standard & Poor's and Moody's, which have raised the possibility of downgrading their ratings of U.S. bonds.

The British government's business secretary, Vince Cable, summed up the situation as he saw it on the BBC this weekend: "The irony of the situation at the moment, with markets opening tomorrow morning, is that the biggest threat to the world financial system comes from a few right-wing nutters in the American Congress."

Alternately, The Onion offered this headline: "Congress Continues to Debate Whether or Not Nation Should be Economically Ruined."

Clinton optimistic about U.S. debt talks If you can't quite tell the serious statement from the satire, you get a sense of our predicament. To be fair, there are ideological extremes in both parties who oppose any grand bargain to reduce the deficit and the debt -- some 90 conservatives in the House who oppose any revenue increases and some 70 liberals who oppose any entitlement reform. Both parties had bases that were threatening to balk at a big deal, knowing that default is the functional alternative.

But the blame for this stage of failure lies squarely on the party that unilaterally withdrew from the talks -- and that's the Republicans. House Speaker John Boehner has been struggling to put together a grand bargain with President Barack Obama, running the risk of alienating the tea party base in Congress. He apparently capitulated to their demands Friday afternoon.

And while there is a chance that this is all just another act of Kabuki theater, it seems clear to me that Obama has led on this issue by being willing to risk the wrath of his political base in opening the door to significant entitlement reform. A gesture of potential political sacrifice such as that deserves to be met at least halfway.

But of course the plan being discussed has never been 50% cuts and 50% revenue increases to deal with the deficit and the debt. Instead the ratio has been more like 3-to-1 of cuts to revenues -- something that any reasonable person would consider a win for those who want to prioritize spending cuts on the road to reducing the deficit and the debt.

It seems that actually dealing with the long-term deficit and the debt is not nearly as appealing as demagoguing it.

But it seems that actually dealing with the long-term deficit and the debt is not nearly as appealing as demagoguing it. We are learning that activists and ideologues pushing anti-tax pledges have nothing to do with the responsibility of governing.

If I sound angry, it's because I am -- and you should be, too. America is now in serious risk of defaulting on our debt because we cannot reason together. Reasoning together requires that everybody be willing to give a bit on their ideal position.

When the bipartisan "Gang of Six" proposal was put forward, it was rejected by some Republicans out of hand despite deep tax cuts and historic entitlement reforms and enforceable spending cuts simply because it was embraced by Obama. Think about that. They reflexively rejected a sensible plan simply because it was backed by the president. This reflects a basic and troubling discomfort with bipartisanship, the democratic process and the reality of divided government.

Independents voted for Republicans in the 2010 midterm elections because they wanted checks and balances; they wanted to reduce deficit and debt spending. But they did not vote for dysfunctional government, and they certainly did not vote for default. The polls showing that independent voters say they will blame Republicans more than Democrats for a U.S. default reflects this disconnect.

As we head into the final week of negotiations before the August 2 deadline, let's not forget a few things. The debt-ceiling vote is usually a routine action. It was raised 17 times during the Reagan administration and was never an issue.

After the 2010 midterm elections, this was identified as a crucial vote because of the leverage that Congress has and the likelihood that some of the tea party conservatives would not vote to raise it. So putting the potential responsibility for a default solely on the president is completely disingenuous.

There is talk of the Obama administration "moving the goal posts" in terms of asking for more revenue increases in the latest negotiations. But moving the goal posts on what constitutes a tax increase is in many ways at the heart of the current disagreement. Arguments for raising the top rate have been dropped until after the 2012 election. The common ground compromise available is tax reform.

Closing loopholes and ending tax expenditures that amount to earmarks embedded in the tax code should be a no-brainer. (For a great look at these boondoggles, take a look at this Ezra Klein column from last week.)

After all, it would allow us to raise revenues but keep the current tax levels -- possibly even lowering some rates to stimulate growth. But some anti-tax absolutists have decided that closing any tax loophole amounts to a tax hike unless it is deficit neutral -- ignoring the whole reason for engaging in this forced fire drill.

Even the Republican leader of the Gang of Six, Sen. Saxby Chambliss, R-Georgia, has been forced to defend his bipartisan plan against conservative attacks that misrepresent the Congressional Budget Office-scored $1.5 trillion tax cut as a net tax increase because it would close loopholes.

"Talk radio has come out and just blasted us, and for the most part, they are using trumped-up numbers that are not accurate," Chambliss said to The Atlanta Journal-Constitution. "Their audiences listen to talk radio because they do believe what they say. That's a problem."

The GOP is starting to see the dangers of hyper-partisan media firsthand. The time-honored aphorism by Daniel Patrick Moynihan -- "everyone is entitled to their own opinion but not their own facts" -- is being undercut by critics who come armed with their own facts, making reasoning together all but impossible.

Late Sunday night, the game of chicken had shifted to whether a short-term extension of the debt ceiling -- which Obama had previously ruled out in an attempt to get the parties to focus on a long-term plan -- would be passed. Default is the alternative.

It wasn't long before journalists pointed out a quote from Republican House Majority Leader Eric Cantor in which he was arguing what is now the administration's point just a month ago: "I don't see how multiple votes on a debt ceiling increase can help get us to where we want to go, we want big reforms. ... I am not so sure that if we can't make the tough decisions now, why we would be making those tough decisions later." This is just more evidence of situational ethics in Washington, with hackish hyper-partisanship posing as principle.


The bottom line is that the two political parties are deeply polarized. The American people are not. We have every right to be frustrated with the way they are playing politics with our future.

The opinions expressed in this commentary are solely those of John Avlon.

;

Sorry, but hypocracy knows no party lines. - Zville MT

[ In Reply To ..]
Both parties share equal blame for this one, IMHO. The same democrats who voted not to increase the debt ceiling under Bush are now screaming foul and the same republicans who voted to raise it under Bush are now the ones saying no. Come on! One party is as bad as the other and they're all playing politics - why do you think the democrats won't accept any deal that ends before elections and why the republicans are insisting on it? Do you think any of them actually care about anything but keeping thier jobs? You can try to place blame on one side or the other, but we're all the ones that are going to pay for the three-ring circus.

Teaparty Republicans imploding as I said they would. - Fake concern about country

[ In Reply To ..]
I was hoping they wouldn't take the whole country down with them, but they are certainly willing to. It is just plain dirty politics on the Republican's part. You didn't see every social program thrown in with the Affordable Health Care Act--that was voted on by majority of the legislators and nothing was held hostage to pass it.

Since the Republicans have had the House, they have held unemployment insurance hostage, and now Social Security and Medicare, all because they just don't give a hoot about the people who rely on these programs. It would be so easy to close some of the tax loopholes to fix the budget, but like a bunch of petulant children they have laid on the floor and screamed.

I hope our country can survive the debacle of the Republican party until they can be voted out.

You're completely overlooking the dems role in this over the past 4 years. - Zville MT

[ In Reply To ..]
Not passing a budget, raising the debt ceiling several times, spending, spending, spending.

You can blame the tea party all you like, but they're just a small minority (kinda like the total left-wingers who only want taxes raised and nothing else). Most of America is more moderate and understand what needs to be done because we either run households or businesses and we know you can't spend more money than you take in. When that starts to happen, you reduce spending where you can and increase money coming in where you can. Common sense 101. Unfortunately, I don't think anyone in DC has any common sense whatsoever.

No one in DC gets a pass on this one, no matter how anyone tries to spin it.
Debt ceiling would have been done already if it were not for the extreme right TP - sm
[ In Reply To ..]
It is not a "blame" thing YET. But it will be if they crash the economy.
It is a blame thing because the debt ceiling isn't the problem. - Zville MT
[ In Reply To ..]
The problem is we have too much debt and we keep adding to it instead of trying to pay it off and no one can agree on how to make that happen.

That's where the blame thing comes in because both parties have had a hand in getting us to this point.
Of course, that would be why the debt ceiling was raised 25 times under Pubs - without an eye blink - nm
[ In Reply To ..]
I do believe that it was Obama himself - sm
[ In Reply To ..]
who said, "The fact that we're here today to debate raising America's debt limit is a sign -- is a sign of leadership failure. Leadership means the buck stops here. Instead, Washington is shifting the burden of bad choices today onto the backs of our children and grandchildren. America has a debt problem and a failure of leadership. Americans deserve better. I therefore intend to oppose the effort to increase America's debt limit."

Funny how Senator Obama and President Obama can't see to agree on the debt limit, huh?
President Reagan brings a tear to my eye - sm
[ In Reply To ..]
“The United States has a special responsibility to itself and the world to meet its obligations,” Reagan said in the address. He warned of rising interest rates, unpaid Social Security and military checks and market instability if the government didn’t pay off its bills.

“It could not be put more bluntly or more articulately than [how] Ronald Reagan laid it out,” said Rep. John Larson, chairman of the Democratic Caucus, adding that the debt ceiling was raised in the Reagan administration 17 times “without the taking of any hostages.”
The rest of that speech is missing... - Zville MT
[ In Reply To ..]
President Reagan also supported a balanced budget amendment in that same speech -haven't seen that happen yet.

The fact that so many administrations have raised the debt ceiling without any thought to the consequences is why we are where we are today - this did not happen overnight, which is why I say both parties are just as guilty. Now we are the ones paying for it. Even if we raise the debt ceiling and borrow however much money the govt. things we need, if we don't control spending, we're going to lose our credit rating and then we become the "hostages" Reagan talked about. Failure of leadership, I would say, for quite some time now.
If we don't raise the debt ceiling in the next day or two.....sm - oldtimer
[ In Reply To ..]
we run the very real risk that our credit rating will go from AAA to D and the repercussions will be devastating for everyone. This is the IMMEDIATE problem.
It is the immediate problem and needs to be done. - Zville MT
[ In Reply To ..]
But even if that's done, there's no guarantee our credit rating still won't go down unless something is done to cut the spending.
You're missing the point. - Zville MT
[ In Reply To ..]
You keep wanting to blame the republicans and if that's your only train of thought, I can't sway it. Maybe, though, you should go back and see how many times the democrats raised the debt ceiling, also without an eye blink. Since March 1962, the debt ceiling has been raised 74 times; 10 of those have been since 2001. I think you'll see that both parties have taken turns in either voting for or against, depending on who sits in the oval office. This is the problem.
Not OK if Democrat, OK if Republican - Same ol', same ol'
[ In Reply To ..]
BTW, when the blame happens, it will be the irresponsible, second-amendment remedy, TP Republicans that will get the blame. I am not blaming normal Republicans--they used to know how to compromise for the good of the entire country, not just play to the Rovian/Koch controllers.
The tea party republicans are such a small minority - Zville MT
[ In Reply To ..]
I don't really see them as having an impact in Congress at this point. If the two sides can come together with a good plan, they have more than enough votes to get it done. The compromise seems to be the problem these days because both sides are trying to make everyone happy and that's just never gonna happen.

And as far as "not okay if a democrat, okay if it's a republican - same ol, same ol" - that could not be further from the truth. My point is both sides have done it to the detrement of our country, both sides are responsible, but if you have tunnel vision, you'll never see that.
Very well said! - sm
[ In Reply To ..]
Those who delusionally blame one party and only one party need to open their eyes and realize this debt crisis has been a long time a coming here and many politicians on both sides of the party line have had a hand in it.

I think both parties are full of morons. Instead of raising taxes, how about we close the loopholes that big companies like GE have used to get out of paying taxes all together. We close those and we may not have to raise taxes because we will automatically get more revenue and yet I don't understand why politicians don't get this. I take that back...I do understand because many of them back politicians and why would a politician want to hurt those who pay big money to them....like GE and Obama.

Also, cutting spending is huge. We cannot continue to spend the money that we are and I don't understand why the president doesn't get that. To do that we are going to have to reform a lot of entitlement programs and I know a lot of people are gonna cry and whine about not taking away from their program but it has to be done.

Also, I don't understand why our politicians cannot be held responsible for this in one way or another. Our president threatens not being able to send out SS checks (although Harry Reid said we had enough money to support SS for several years but whatever) and yet I don't see Obama or other politicians not getting their salaries. How is that fair? They are the ones who got us here. Perhaps instead of threatening old people with not receiving what they need to survive on...our politicians could have their salaries on hold. Seems only fair to me. They are all rich anyway. Having their paycheck on hold isn't going to set them back and yet they threaten others who need that check for their survival. How admirable of them, don't cha think?

This will be just like the government shut down deal. They will find a middle ground at the last minute. This is all just a show so each party can try to paint the other party as uncompromising and fear mongers. Both parties are guilty.

I understand that Obama is very charismatic and a great speaker when he has his teleprompter, but it amazes me how many people have bought his rhetoric hook, line and sinker. Both parties have a lot of blame to be placed on them but no matter how you try and spin it....our economy is worse under Obama's administration. It would just be refreshing if people would open their eyes and realize he is part of the problem instead of giving him a free pass for everything. He should be held accountable and he isn't and that upsets me.

We need to recall the TP Republicans - Make Boehner happy!

[ In Reply To ..]
Boehner can't even reason with them.

Watch the Oscar-Winning Movie - Inside Job (SM)

[ In Reply To ..]
It explains perfectly how the mess we are in is the fault of Democrats and Republicans alike. Both parties are beholden to business interests on Wall Street. It is all clearly laid out. It is a truly well-done movie and helps give a context for the currently debt problem this country faces. I have to warn you, some of things you will learn will really shock and anger you.

sounds good, thanks - ...

[ In Reply To ..]
I added it to my Netflix queue.

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